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　　其??(qi)二?(er)??，懲??(cheng)罰??(fa)性??(xing)關??(guan)稅??(shui)政??(zheng)策??(ce)將??(jiang)導??(dao)致??(zhi)全??(quan)球?(qiu)貿??(mao)易??(yi)成??(cheng)本??(ben)上??(shang)升?(sheng)??，迫??(po)使??(shi)石??(shi)油??(you)貿??(mao)易?(yi)改??(gai)道??(dao)??，進??(jin)一祝(yi)步??(bu)加??(jia)劇??(ju)了??(le)國??(guo)際??(ji)油?(you)價??(jia)的??(de)不??(bu)確??(que)定??(ding)性??(xing)??。?美??(mei)國??(guo)對??(dui)進??(jin)口??(kou)鋼??(gang)鐵??(tie)和??(he)鋁??(lv)加??(jia)征??(zheng)關??(guan)稅?(shui)??，增??(zeng)加??(jia)國??(guo)內??(nei)石??(shi)油??(you)開??(kai)采??(cai)和??(he)運??(yun)輸??(shu)的??(de)成??(cheng)本??(ben)??，間??(jian)接??(jie)推??(tui)高??(gao)油?(you)價??(jia)??。同??(tong)時??(shi)??，貿??(mao)易??(yi)摩??(mo)擦??(ca)導??(dao)致?(zhi)的?(de)全??(quan)球??(qiu)經(jīng)??(jing)濟??(ji)放??(fang)緩??(huan)預??(yu)期??(qi)??，又??(you)對??(dui)油??(you)價??(jia)形??(xing)成??(cheng)了??(le)下?(xia)行??(xing)壓??(ya)力??(li)??。這??(zhe)種??(zhong)復??(fu)雜??(za)的??(de)相??(xiang)互??(hu)作??(zuo)用??(yong)使??(shi)得??(de)國??(guo)際??(ji)油??(you)價??(jia)的??(de)波?(bo)動??(dong)更?(geng)加??(jia)難??(nan)以??(yi)預??(yu)測??(ce)???！　√??(te)朗??(lang)普??(pu)關??(guan)稅??(shui)政??(zheng)策??(ce)不??(bu)僅??(jin)影??(ying)響??(xiang)了??(le)國??(guo)際??(ji)油??(you)價??(jia)的??(de)短??(duan)期??(qi)波??(bo)動??(dong)??，也??(ye)在??(zai)更??(geng)深??(shen)層??(ceng)次??(ci)上??(shang)重?(zhong)塑??(su)了??(le)全??(quan)球??(qiu)能??(neng)源??(yuan)貿??(mao)易??(yi)格?(ge)局?(ju)??。??例?(li)如??(ru)??，加??(jia)拿??(na)大??(da)對??(dui)美??(mei)原??(yuan)油??(you)出??(chu)口??(kou)受??(shou)阻祝(zu)后?(hou)??，必??(bi)然?(ran)會??(hui)尋??(xun)求??(qiu)開??(kai)拓?(tuo)亞?(ya)洲??(zhou)市??(shi)場??(chang)??，從??(cong)而??(er)導??(dao)致?(zhi)全??(quan)球??(qiu)能??(neng)源??(yuan)貿??(mao)易??(yi)流??(liu)向??(xiang)發(fā)??(fa)生??(sheng)顯??(xian)著??(zhu)變??(bian)化??(hua)??。同?(tong)樣??(yang)??，為??(wei)了??(le)抵??(di)制??(zhi)美??(mei)國??(guo)懲??(cheng)罰??(fa)性??(xing)關??(guan)稅??(shui)??，東??(dong)亞??(ya)主??(zhu)要??(yao)石??(shi)油??(you)消??(xiao)費??(fei)市??(shi)場??(chang)有??(you)可?(ke)能??(neng)放?(fang)棄??(qi)美??(mei)國??(guo)能??(neng)源?(yuan)進??(jin)口??(kou)??，轉??(zhuan)而??(er)增??(zeng)加??(jia)從??(cong)中??(zhong)東?(dong)和??(he)俄??(e)羅??(luo)斯?(si)的??(de)原??(yuan)油?(you)進??(jin)口??(kou)??，這??(zhe)種??(zhong)貿??(mao)易??(yi)轉??(zhuan)移??(yi)不??(bu)僅??(jin)影??(ying)響??(xiang)了??(le)美??(mei)國??(guo)的?(de)頁??(ye)巖??(yan)油??(you)出??(chu)口??(kou)??，也??(ye)改??(gai)變?(bian)了?(le)全??(quan)球??(qiu)能??(neng)源??(yuan)供??(gong)應??(ying)鏈??(lian)的??(de)布??(bu)局?(ju)??。。