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學習快評丨qibao666888　　以??(yi)美??(mei)加??(jia)貿??(mao)易??(yi)戰(zhàn)??(zhan)為??(wei)例??(li)??。??美?(mei)國??(guo)能??(neng)源??(yuan)信??(xin)息??(xi)署??(shu)的??(de)數(shù)??(shu)據??(ju)顯??(xian)示??(shi)??，2024年??(nian)前??(qian)10個??(ge)月??(yue)??，美??(mei)國??(guo)每??(mei)天??(tian)進??(jin)口??(kou)約??(yue)660萬??(wan)桶??(tong)原?(yuan)油??(you)??，其??(qi)中??(zhong)400萬??(wan)桶??(tong)為??(wei)重??(zhong)質??(zhi)原??(yuan)油??(you)??，用?(yong)于?(yu)升?(sheng)級??(ji)煉??(lian)油?(you)廠??(chang)和??(he)裂?(lie)解??(jie)裝??(zhuang)置??(zhi)??。美??(mei)國??(guo)重??(zhong)質??(zhi)原??(yuan)油??(you)進??(jin)口??(kou)的??(de)75%來??(lai)自??(zi)加??(jia)拿??(na)大??(da)??，加??(jia)拿??(na)大??(da)約??(yue)80%的??(de)原??(yuan)油??(you)產??(chan)量??(liang)流??(liu)向??(xiang)美??(mei)國??(guo)煉??(lian)油??(you)廠??(chang)??。自??(zi)從??(cong)特??(te)朗??(lang)普??(pu)對??(dui)加??(jia)發(fā)??(fa)出??(chu)關??(guan)稅??(shui)威??(wei)脅??(xie)后??(hou)??，美??(mei)國??(guo)進??(jin)口??(kou)的??(de)加??(jia)拿??(na)大??(da)原?(yuan)油??(you)達??(da)到??(dao)創(chuàng)??(chuang)紀??(ji)錄??(lu)的??(de)442萬?(wan)桶??(tong)／日??(ri)??，并??(bing)在??(zai)最??(zui)后??(hou)一??(yi)個??(ge)季?(ji)度??(du)增??(zeng)長??(chang)了??(le)11.8%??。去??(qu)年??(nian)12月??(yue)加?(jia)對??(dui)美??(mei)貿??(mao)易??(yi)順??(shun)差??(cha)從??(cong)之??(zhi)前??(qian)的??(de)82億??(yi)加??(jia)元??(yuan)擴??(kuo)大??(da)至?(zhi)113億??(yi)加??(jia)元??(yuan)??。從??(cong)目??(mu)前??(qian)情??(qing)況?(kuang)看??(kan)??，絕??(jue)大??(da)多??(duo)數(shù)??(shu)加??(jia)拿??(na)大??(da)人?(ren)支??(zhi)持??(chi)對??(dui)美??(mei)采??(cai)取??(qu)報??(bao)復??(fu)性??(xing)關?(guan)稅?(shui)??，去??(qu)年??(nian)??，加??(jia)拿??(na)大??(da)與??(yu)美?(mei)國??(guo)的??(de)進??(jin)出?(chu)口??(kou)貿??(mao)易?(yi)額??(e)連??(lian)續(xù)??(xu)第??(di)三?(san)年??(nian)超??(chao)過??(guo)1萬??(wan)億??(yi)加??(jia)元??(yuan)??。特??(te)朗?(lang)普??(pu)現(xiàn)??(xian)在?(zai)不??(bu)得??(de)不??(bu)宣??(xuan)布?(bu)暫??(zan)緩??(huan)追??(zhui)加??(jia)關??(guan)稅??(shui)??，但??(dan)市??(shi)場??(chang)擔??(dan)心??(xin)一?(yi)旦??(dan)實??(shi)施??(shi)高??(gao)關??(guan)稅??(shui)??，美??(mei)龐??(pang)大??(da)的??(de)原??(yuan)油??(you)進??(jin)口??(kou)需??(xu)求??(qiu)有??(you)可??(ke)能??(neng)化??(hua)為??(wei)烏??(wu)有??(you)???！　∑??(qi)一??(yi)??，貿??(mao)易??(yi)戰(zhàn)??(zhan)升??(sheng)級??(ji)直??(zhi)接??(jie)影??(ying)響??(xiang)全??(quan)球?(qiu)原??(yuan)油??(you)需??(xu)求??(qiu)預?(yu)期??(qi)??。??美??(mei)國??(guo)加??(jia)征?(zheng)關??(guan)稅?(shui)政??(zheng)策??(ce)將??(jiang)在??(zai)很?(hen)大??(da)程??(cheng)度??(du)上??(shang)影??(ying)響??(xiang)世??(shi)界??(jie)經??(jing)濟??(ji)復??(fu)蘇??(su)增??(zeng)長?(chang)??，并??(bing)且??(qie)有??(you)可??(ke)能??(neng)導??(dao)致??(zhi)美??(mei)經??(jing)濟??(ji)出??(chu)現(xiàn)??(xian)衰??(shuai)退??(tui)??。任??(ren)何??(he)經?(jing)濟??(ji)增??(zeng)長??(chang)放??(fang)緩??(huan)的??(de)預?(yu)期??(qi)都??(dou)將??(jiang)導??(dao)致??(zhi)市??(shi)場??(chang)對??(dui)原??(yuan)油??(you)需??(xu)求??(qiu)的??(de)擔??(dan)憂??(you)加??(jia)劇?(ju)??。這?(zhe)種??(zhong)擔??(dan)憂??(you)反??(fan)映??(ying)在??(zai)國?(guo)際??(ji)油??(you)價??(jia)上??(shang)??，表??(biao)現(xiàn)??(xian)為??(wei)油??(you)價??(jia)劇??(ju)烈??(lie)波??(bo)動??(dong)??。。