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學(xué)習(xí)快評(píng)丨qibao666888　　當(dāng)??(dang)前??(qian)??，市??(shi)場(chǎng)??(chang)認(rèn)??(ren)可?(ke)的??(de)基??(ji)準(zhǔn)?(zhun)情??(qing)形??(xing)已?(yi)經(jīng)??(jing)發(fā)??(fa)生??(sheng)了??(le)大??(da)逆??(ni)轉(zhuǎn)??(zhuan)??，越??(yue)來??(lai)越??(yue)多??(duo)的??(de)投??(tou)資??(zi)者??(zhe)認(rèn)??(ren)為?(wei)??，由??(you)于??(yu)關(guān)??(guan)稅??(shui)政??(zheng)策??(ce)擾??(rao)動(dòng)??(dong)、政??(zheng)府?(fu)支??(zhi)出??(chu)下??(xia)降??(jiang)和??(he)勞??(lao)動(dòng)??(dong)力??(li)減??(jian)少??(shao)??，美?(mei)國(guó)??(guo)經(jīng)?(jing)濟(jì)??(ji)可??(ke)能??(neng)陷??(xian)入??(ru)溫?(wen)和??(he)“滯?(zhi)漲??(zhang)”中??(zhong)??，即??(ji)經(jīng)?(jing)濟(jì)??(ji)增??(zeng)速??(su)有??(you)所??(suo)下??(xia)降??(jiang)??，但??(dan)通??(tong)脹??(zhang)依??(yi)然??(ran)維?(wei)持??(chi)在??(zai)較??(jiao)高??(gao)水??(shui)平?(ping)?。??同??(tong)時(shí)??(shi)??，美??(mei)聯(lián)??(lian)儲(chǔ)??(chu)將??(jiang)不??(bu)得??(de)不??(bu)在??(zai)物??(wu)價(jià)??(jia)穩(wěn)??(wen)定?(ding)和??(he)充??(chong)分??(fen)就??(jiu)業(yè)??(ye)兩?(liang)大??(da)官??(guan)方?(fang)使??(shi)命??(ming)中??(zhong)做??(zuo)出??(chu)選??(xuan)擇??(ze)??，很??(hen)可??(ke)能?(neng)會(huì)?(hui)被??(bei)迫??(po)大??(da)幅??(fu)調(diào)??(tiao)低??(di)政??(zheng)策??(ce)利?(li)率??(lv)水?(shui)平?(ping)?。　　據(jù)??(ju)亞??(ya)特??(te)蘭??(lan)大??(da)聯(lián)??(lian)儲(chǔ)??(chu)GDPNow模??(mo)型??(xing)最??(zui)新??(xin)數(shù)??(shu)據(jù)??(ju)顯??(xian)示??(shi)??，美?(mei)國(guó)??(guo)1季??(ji)度??(du)經(jīng)??(jing)濟(jì)??(ji)增??(zeng)速??(su)將??(jiang)下??(xia)降??(jiang)1.8%??，如??(ru)果??(guo)這??(zhe)一?(yi)預(yù)??(yu)測(cè)??(ce)成??(cheng)為??(wei)現(xiàn)??(xian)實(shí)??(shi)??，將??(jiang)會(huì)??(hui)成??(cheng)為?(wei)2022年??(nian)1季??(ji)度??(du)以??(yi)來?(lai)美??(mei)國(guó)??(guo)經(jīng)??(jing)濟(jì)??(ji)首??(shou)次??(ci)季??(ji)度??(du)收??(shou)縮??(suo)?。??而??(er)芝??(zhi)商??(shang)所??(suo)的??(de)Fed Watch工??(gong)具??(ju)顯??(xian)示??(shi)??，美??(mei)聯(lián)??(lian)儲(chǔ)??(chu)最??(zui)早??(zao)可??(ke)能??(neng)在??(zai)6月??(yue)降??(jiang)息??(xi)??，年??(nian)內(nèi)??(nei)最??(zui)多??(duo)可??(ke)能?(neng)會(huì)?(hui)降??(jiang)息??(xi)2至??(zhi)3次??(ci)?。。