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　　其??(qi)一??(yi)??，貿(mào)??(mao)易?(yi)戰(zhàn)?(zhan)升??(sheng)級??(ji)直??(zhi)接??(jie)影??(ying)響??(xiang)全??(quan)球??(qiu)原??(yuan)油??(you)需??(xu)求??(qiu)預(yù)?(yu)期??(qi)?。??美??(mei)國??(guo)加??(jia)征??(zheng)關(guān)??(guan)稅??(shui)政?(zheng)策??(ce)將??(jiang)在??(zai)很??(hen)大??(da)程??(cheng)度?(du)上??(shang)影??(ying)響??(xiang)世??(shi)界??(jie)經(jīng)??(jing)濟(jì)??(ji)復(fù)??(fu)蘇??(su)增??(zeng)長?(chang)??，并?(bing)且??(qie)有??(you)可??(ke)能?(neng)導(dǎo)??(dao)致??(zhi)美??(mei)經(jīng)??(jing)濟(jì)??(ji)出?(chu)現(xiàn)??(xian)衰??(shuai)退??(tui)?。任??(ren)何??(he)經(jīng)??(jing)濟(jì)??(ji)增??(zeng)長??(chang)放??(fang)緩??(huan)的??(de)預(yù)??(yu)期??(qi)都??(dou)將??(jiang)導(dǎo)??(dao)致??(zhi)市??(shi)場??(chang)對??(dui)原??(yuan)油??(you)需??(xu)求??(qiu)的??(de)擔(dān)?(dan)憂??(you)加??(jia)劇??(ju)?。這??(zhe)種??(zhong)擔(dān)??(dan)憂??(you)反??(fan)映??(ying)在??(zai)國??(guo)際??(ji)油??(you)價??(jia)上??(shang)??，表??(biao)現(xiàn)??(xian)為??(wei)油?(you)價??(jia)劇??(ju)烈??(lie)波??(bo)動??(dong)?。　　可??(ke)見??(jian)??，從??(cong)技??(ji)術(shù)??(shu)面??(mian)分??(fen)析??(xi)國??(guo)際??(ji)油??(you)價??(jia)短??(duan)期??(qi)走??(zou)勢??(shi)是??(shi)向??(xiang)下??(xia)探??(tan)底?(di)?。??很??(hen)多?(duo)人??(ren)運??(yun)用??(yong)AI技??(ji)術(shù)??(shu)模?(mo)型??(xing)也??(ye)得??(de)到??(dao)相??(xiang)同??(tong)的??(de)結(jié)??(jie)論??(lun)??，即?(ji)短??(duan)期??(qi)內(nèi)??(nei)看??(kan)跌?(die)?。一?(yi)些??(xie)重??(zhong)要??(yao)投??(tou)行??(xing)也??(ye)給??(gei)出??(chu)了??(le)油??(you)價??(jia)在??(zai)每??(mei)桶??(tong)60美??(mei)元??(yuan)至??(zhi)80美??(mei)元??(yuan)之??(zhi)間?(jian)波??(bo)動??(dong)的??(de)預(yù)??(yu)測??(ce)?。。