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　　其??(qi)一??(yi)??，貿(mào)??(mao)易??(yi)戰(zhàn)??(zhan)升?(sheng)級??(ji)直??(zhi)接??(jie)影??(ying)響??(xiang)全??(quan)球??(qiu)原??(yuan)油??(you)需??(xu)求??(qiu)預(yù)??(yu)期??(qi)??。??美??(mei)國??(guo)加??(jia)征??(zheng)關(guān)??(guan)稅??(shui)政??(zheng)策??(ce)將??(jiang)在?(zai)很??(hen)大??(da)程??(cheng)度??(du)上??(shang)影??(ying)響??(xiang)世?(shi)界??(jie)經(jīng)??(jing)濟??(ji)復(fù)??(fu)蘇??(su)增??(zeng)長??(chang)??，并??(bing)且??(qie)有??(you)可??(ke)能??(neng)導(dǎo)??(dao)致??(zhi)美??(mei)經(jīng)??(jing)濟??(ji)出??(chu)現(xiàn)??(xian)衰??(shuai)退??(tui)??。任??(ren)何??(he)經(jīng)??(jing)濟??(ji)增??(zeng)長??(chang)放??(fang)緩??(huan)的??(de)預(yù)??(yu)期??(qi)都??(dou)將??(jiang)導(dǎo)??(dao)致??(zhi)市??(shi)場??(chang)對??(dui)原??(yuan)油??(you)需??(xu)求??(qiu)的??(de)擔(dān)??(dan)憂?(you)加??(jia)劇??(ju)??。這??(zhe)種??(zhong)擔(dān)??(dan)憂??(you)反??(fan)映??(ying)在??(zai)國??(guo)際??(ji)油??(you)價??(jia)上??(shang)??，表??(biao)現(xiàn)??(xian)為?(wei)油??(you)價??(jia)劇??(ju)烈??(lie)波??(bo)動??(dong)???！　∫??(yi)美??(mei)加?(jia)貿(mào)??(mao)易??(yi)戰(zhàn)??(zhan)為??(wei)例??(li)??。??美??(mei)國??(guo)能??(neng)源??(yuan)信??(xin)息??(xi)署??(shu)的??(de)數(shù)??(shu)據(jù)??(ju)顯??(xian)示??(shi)??，2024年??(nian)前??(qian)10個?(ge)月??(yue)??，美??(mei)國?(guo)每??(mei)天??(tian)進(jìn)??(jin)口??(kou)約??(yue)660萬??(wan)桶??(tong)原??(yuan)油??(you)??，其??(qi)中??(zhong)400萬??(wan)桶?(tong)為??(wei)重??(zhong)質(zhì)??(zhi)原??(yuan)油??(you)??，用??(yong)于??(yu)升??(sheng)級??(ji)煉??(lian)油??(you)廠??(chang)和??(he)裂??(lie)解??(jie)裝??(zhuang)置??(zhi)??。美??(mei)國??(guo)重??(zhong)質(zhì)??(zhi)原?(yuan)油??(you)進(jìn)??(jin)口??(kou)的??(de)75%來??(lai)自??(zi)加??(jia)拿??(na)大??(da)??，加??(jia)拿??(na)大??(da)約??(yue)80%的??(de)原??(yuan)油?(you)產(chǎn)??(chan)量?(liang)流?(liu)向??(xiang)美??(mei)國??(guo)煉??(lian)油??(you)廠??(chang)??。自??(zi)從??(cong)特??(te)朗??(lang)普??(pu)對??(dui)加??(jia)發(fā)??(fa)出??(chu)關(guān)??(guan)稅??(shui)威??(wei)脅?(xie)后??(hou)??，美??(mei)國??(guo)進(jìn)??(jin)口??(kou)的??(de)加??(jia)拿??(na)大??(da)原??(yuan)油??(you)達(dá)??(da)到??(dao)創(chuàng)??(chuang)紀(jì)??(ji)錄??(lu)的??(de)442萬??(wan)桶??(tong)／日?(ri)??，并??(bing)在??(zai)最??(zui)后??(hou)一??(yi)個??(ge)季??(ji)度??(du)增??(zeng)長??(chang)了??(le)11.8%??。去??(qu)年??(nian)12月??(yue)加??(jia)對??(dui)美??(mei)貿(mào)??(mao)易?(yi)順??(shun)差??(cha)從??(cong)之??(zhi)前??(qian)的??(de)82億??(yi)加??(jia)元??(yuan)擴??(kuo)大??(da)至??(zhi)113億??(yi)加??(jia)元?(yuan)??。從??(cong)目??(mu)前??(qian)情??(qing)況??(kuang)看??(kan)??，絕??(jue)大??(da)多??(duo)數(shù)??(shu)加??(jia)拿??(na)大??(da)人?(ren)支??(zhi)持??(chi)對??(dui)美??(mei)采??(cai)取??(qu)報??(bao)復(fù)?(fu)性??(xing)關(guān)??(guan)稅??(shui)??，去??(qu)年?(nian)??，加??(jia)拿??(na)大??(da)與??(yu)美??(mei)國??(guo)的??(de)進(jìn)??(jin)出??(chu)口??(kou)貿(mào)??(mao)易??(yi)額??(e)連??(lian)續(xù)?(xu)第??(di)三??(san)年??(nian)超??(chao)過??(guo)1萬??(wan)億??(yi)加??(jia)元??(yuan)??。特??(te)朗??(lang)普??(pu)現(xiàn)??(xian)在??(zai)不??(bu)得??(de)不??(bu)宣??(xuan)布??(bu)暫??(zan)緩??(huan)追??(zhui)加??(jia)關(guān)??(guan)稅??(shui)??，但??(dan)市??(shi)場??(chang)擔(dān)??(dan)心??(xin)一??(yi)旦??(dan)實??(shi)施??(shi)高??(gao)關(guān)??(guan)稅??(shui)??，美??(mei)龐??(pang)大?(da)的??(de)原??(yuan)油??(you)進(jìn)??(jin)口??(kou)需??(xu)求??(qiu)有?(you)可??(ke)能??(neng)化??(hua)為??(wei)烏??(wu)有?(you)??。。