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　　三九養(yǎng)生堂記者 鄧肯·蓋伊 報道

精彩|　　陳??(chen)光??(guang)華??(hua)指??(zhi)出??(chu)??，關(guān)??(guan)于??(yu)接??(jie)下??(xia)來??(lai)的?(de)市??(shi)場??(chang)走??(zou)勢??(shi)??，近??(jin)期??(qi)農(nóng)??(nong)業(yè)?(ye)農(nóng)??(nong)村??(cun)部??(bu)組??(zu)織??(zhi)專??(zhuan)家??(jia)、行??(xing)業(yè)??(ye)協(xié)??(xie)會??(hui)和??(he)重??(zhong)點??(dian)企??(qi)業(yè)??(ye)進(jìn)??(jin)行??(xing)了??(le)專??(zhuan)題??(ti)會??(hui)商?(shang)??。?大??(da)家??(jia)認(rèn)??(ren)為??(wei)??，當(dāng)??(dang)前?(qian)和?(he)今??(jin)后??(hou)一??(yi)個??(ge)時??(shi)期??(qi)??，生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)仍?(reng)在??(zai)慣?(guan)性??(xing)增??(zeng)長??(chang)??，后??(hou)市??(shi)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)將??(jiang)穩(wěn)??(wen)定??(ding)增??(zeng)加??(jia)??，四??(si)季??(ji)度??(du)是??(shi)消??(xiao)費??(fei)旺??(wang)季??(ji)??，豬??(zhu)價??(jia)可??(ke)能??(neng)會??(hui)回??(hui)升??(sheng)??，但??(dan)缺??(que)乏??(fa)大??(da)幅??(fu)上??(shang)漲??(zhang)的??(de)基??(ji)礎(chǔ)??(chu)??。從??(cong)中??(zhong)大??(da)豬??(zhu)數(shù)??(shu)量??(liang)看??(kan)??，9月??(yue)份??(fen)??，全??(quan)國??(guo)規(guī)??(gui)模??(mo)豬?(zhu)場??(chang)的?(de)中?(zhong)大??(da)豬??(zhu)存??(cun)欄??(lan)量??(liang)同??(tong)比??(bi)增??(zeng)長??(chang)6.3%、環(huán)??(huan)比??(bi)增??(zeng)長??(chang)2.4%??，這??(zhe)些??(xie)中??(zhong)大??(da)豬??(zhu)將??(jiang)在??(zai)未??(wei)來??(lai)2個??(ge)月??(yue)內(nèi)??(nei)陸??(lu)續(xù)??(xu)出??(chu)欄??(lan)??，預(yù)??(yu)示??(shi)著??(zhe)11月??(yue)份??(fen)前?(qian)后??(hou)生??(sheng)豬?(zhu)市??(shi)場??(chang)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)將??(jiang)持??(chi)續(xù)?(xu)增??(zeng)加??(jia)??。從??(cong)新??(xin)生??(sheng)仔?(zai)豬??(zhu)數(shù)??(shu)量??(liang)看??(kan)??，今??(jin)年??(nian)4—9月??(yue)份??(fen)全?(quan)國??(guo)新?(xin)生??(sheng)仔?(zai)豬??(zhu)量?(liang)同??(tong)比??(bi)增??(zeng)長??(chang)5.9%??，這??(zhe)些??(xie)仔??(zai)豬?(zhu)將??(jiang)在??(zai)未??(wei)來??(lai)6個??(ge)月??(yue)內(nèi)??(nei)將??(jiang)陸?(lu)續(xù)??(xu)出?(chu)欄??(lan)??，預(yù)??(yu)示??(shi)著??(zhe)從??(cong)現(xiàn)??(xian)在??(zai)開??(kai)始?(shi)的??(de)半??(ban)年?(nian)內(nèi)??(nei)(包??(bao)括??(kuo)元??(yuan)旦??(dan)春??(chun)節(jié)??(jie))豬??(zhu)肉??(rou)市?(shi)場??(chang)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)較?(jiao)為??(wei)充??(chong)足?(zu)??。在??(zai)此??(ci)提??(ti)醒??(xing)廣??(guang)大??(da)養(yǎng)??(yang)殖??(zhi)場??(chang)戶??(hu)??，明??(ming)年??(nian)春?(chun)節(jié)??(jie)后??(hou)可??(ke)能??(neng)出??(chu)現(xiàn)??(xian)消?(xiao)費??(fei)淡??(dan)季??(ji)與??(yu)生??(sheng)豬?(zhu)出??(chu)欄??(lan)量?(liang)增??(zeng)加??(jia)“兩??(liang)碰??(peng)頭??(tou)”??，養(yǎng)??(yang)豬??(zhu)虧??(kui)損??(sun)程??(cheng)度?(du)甚??(shen)至?(zhi)可??(ke)能??(neng)重??(zhong)于??(yu)今??(jin)年?(nian)同??(tong)期??(qi)??，希??(xi)望??(wang)大??(da)家??(jia)做??(zuo)好??(hao)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)安?(an)排??(pai)??，合??(he)理??(li)調(diào)??(tiao)整??(zheng)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)?(chan)節(jié)??(jie)奏??(zou)??，順??(shun)時??(shi)順??(shun)勢??(shi)出??(chu)欄??(lan)生?(sheng)豬??(zhu)???！　??(dui)此??(ci)??，陳??(chen)光??(guang)華??(hua)表??(biao)示??(shi)??，今??(jin)年??(nian)以??(yi)來??(lai)??，生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)市??(shi)場??(chang)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)總??(zong)體??(ti)較??(jiao)為?(wei)充??(chong)足??(zu)??，大??(da)家??(jia)在??(zai)日??(ri)常??(chang)生??(sheng)活??(huo)中??(zhong)可?(ke)能??(neng)都??(dou)感??(gan)受??(shou)到??(dao)了??(le)?。??1—7月??(yue)份??(fen)豬??(zhu)價??(jia)低?(di)位??(wei)運??(yun)行??(xing)??，出??(chu)欄??(lan)一??(yi)頭??(tou)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)虧??(kui)損??(sun)約?(yue)130元??(yuan)?。7月??(yue)下??(xia)旬??(xun)之??(zhi)后??(hou)??，豬??(zhu)肉??(rou)供??(gong)需??(xu)逐??(zhu)漸??(jian)趨??(qu)于??(yu)平??(ping)衡??(heng)??，生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)價??(jia)格??(ge)回??(hui)升??(sheng)??，養(yǎng)??(yang)殖??(zhi)實??(shi)現(xiàn)??(xian)扭??(niu)虧??(kui)為??(wei)盈??(ying)?。中??(zhong)秋??(qiu)國??(guo)慶??(qing)以??(yi)來??(lai)??，豬??(zhu)肉??(rou)市??(shi)場??(chang)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)寬??(kuan)松??(song)??，價??(jia)格??(ge)又??(you)出?(chu)現(xiàn)??(xian)了??(le)小??(xiao)幅??(fu)下??(xia)跌??(die)?。這??(zhe)主??(zhu)要??(yao)是??(shi)因??(yin)為??(wei)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)供??(gong)應(yīng)?(ying)在??(zai)穩(wěn)??(wen)定??(ding)增??(zeng)加??(jia)?。作??(zuo)為??(wei)產(chǎn)??(chan)能??(neng)的?(de)核??(he)心?(xin)指??(zhi)標(biāo)??(biao)??，全??(quan)國??(guo)能??(neng)繁??(fan)母??(mu)豬??(zhu)存?(cun)欄??(lan)量??(liang)今??(jin)年?(nian)以??(yi)來??(lai)始?(shi)終??(zhong)高?(gao)于??(yu)4100萬??(wan)頭??(tou)的??(de)正??(zheng)常??(chang)保??(bao)有??(you)量??(liang)?。9月??(yue)末??(mo)??，能??(neng)繁??(fan)母??(mu)豬??(zhu)存??(cun)欄??(lan)量?(liang)4240萬?(wan)頭??(tou)??，比??(bi)4100萬??(wan)頭??(tou)正??(zheng)常??(chang)保??(bao)有??(you)量??(liang)要??(yao)高??(gao)出??(chu)3.4%?。同祝(tong)時??(shi)??，母??(mu)豬??(zhu)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)效??(xiao)率??(lv)也??(ye)在??(zai)提??(ti)升??(sheng)??，一??(yi)頭?(tou)母??(mu)豬??(zhu)每??(mei)年??(nian)要??(yao)比??(bi)上??(shang)年??(nian)多??(duo)提??(ti)供??(gong)約??(yue)0.5頭??(tou)肥??(fei)豬??(zhu)?。這??(zhe)樣??(yang)能??(neng)繁??(fan)母??(mu)豬??(zhu)數(shù)?(shu)量??(liang)增??(zeng)多??(duo)??，生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)效??(xiao)率??(lv)又??(you)在??(zai)提??(ti)升??(sheng)??，在??(zai)兩??(liang)個??(ge)因??(yin)素??(su)共??(gong)同??(tong)作??(zuo)用??(yong)下??(xia)??，豬?(zhu)肉??(rou)產(chǎn)??(chan)量?(liang)處??(chu)于??(yu)近??(jin)年??(nian)同??(tong)期??(qi)高??(gao)位??(wei)?。前??(qian)三??(san)季??(ji)度??(du)豬??(zhu)肉??(rou)產(chǎn)??(chan)量??(liang)4301萬??(wan)噸??(dun)??，同??(tong)比?(bi)增??(zeng)長??(chang)3.6%?。

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